Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 420.584748 479.694544 545.928944 625.982781 720.562796 829.288240 964.512694
2025-08-24 330.767257 406.594081 499.666759 623.647591 786.490947 995.940050 1290.410372
2025-08-31 278.081055 358.755666 463.859800 613.326338 824.564619 1118.918214 1572.006612
2025-09-07 245.989230 329.816083 444.394093 616.319376 874.694973 1260.370923 1903.498604
2025-09-14 217.031148 300.086577 418.084211 603.098015 895.752881 1358.912016 2187.046772
2025-09-21 196.926678 279.847738 401.805372 600.819163 930.846509 1482.641395 2537.609133
2025-09-28 174.662374 253.650794 373.074694 574.331676 921.214964 1528.248993 2756.581333
2025-10-05 166.772110 248.186078 375.188569 597.267935 997.595266 1736.867919 3338.532032
2025-10-12 160.858771 245.001819 380.239041 625.302743 1086.889848 1986.177720 4074.812354
2025-10-19 151.173312 234.677035 372.236393 629.039112 1131.023984 2155.017018 4682.746794
2025-10-26 139.313430 219.634073 354.635518 612.908220 1133.578749 2237.598075 5109.085607
2025-11-02 129.633074 207.416893 340.702867 601.809456 1144.301521 2339.475574 5615.830580
2025-11-09 125.114764 203.878320 342.115713 621.077676 1223.196820 2616.471485 6707.600972
2025-11-16 117.971210 195.141063 333.282583 619.014797 1255.837418 2792.377469 7582.208941
2025-11-23 110.502076 185.190753 321.221811 608.778250 1268.217910 2920.463942 8361.533074
2025-11-30 105.373456 179.075654 315.818169 611.744844 1311.795475 3140.215648 9544.109363
2025-12-07 98.855687 169.883630 303.637430 598.641020 1314.411368 3249.077578 10384.938692
2025-12-14 94.101444 163.657910 296.749986 596.382376 1343.749866 3441.642128 11642.165364
2025-12-21 87.242043 152.948366 280.030371 570.128634 1307.450054 3431.615902 12078.324752
2025-12-28 85.818421 152.637127 284.400194 592.862609 1404.337483 3857.424381 14637.030550
2026-01-04 84.880210 153.190966 290.581169 620.648050 1520.557060 4382.492753 18042.209315
2026-01-11 81.825554 149.293582 287.004986 624.351013 1569.437632 4694.826876 20616.723565
2026-01-18 77.333232 142.195561 275.991157 608.364058 1558.007219 4789.493046 22070.341036